Gavin Newsom stood in Austin, Texas, and told a crowd that their state is actually the high-tax nightmare everyone thinks California is. Let that sink in for a moment. The governor of a state hemorrhaging residents faster than a punctured water balloon claimed Texas and Florida are the real tax villains. It’s the kind of brazen spin that makes you wonder if he’s workshopping material for a comedy tour.
“Texas and Florida are the REAL high-tax states,” Newsom posted on X, doubling down during his SXSW appearance. He insisted California has the most “progressive tax rates in America” and that Texas’s middle class pays more than California’s. The whole performance felt like watching someone try to convince you that up is down while standing on their head.
James Agresti wasn’t buying it. The Just Facts President actually did what journalists used to do before hot takes replaced homework. He ran the numbers from multiple angles to test Newsom’s claims. What he found won’t surprise anyone who’s looked at a California tax form or watched U-Haul prices spike for trucks leaving the Golden State.
The reality is this: California maintains the highest state income tax rate in the nation, topping out at 13.3% for high earners. Texas? Zero. Florida? Also zero. Newsom’s argument hinges on cherry-picking specific scenarios and ignoring the broader picture that actual families face when they’re deciding where to build their lives. You know what matters to most people? The total bite government takes from their paycheck, not some theoretical calculation that requires a degree in creative accounting to justify.
Newsom pointed to sales taxes and property taxes in Texas and Florida, suggesting these offset California’s income tax disadvantage. But this comparison is fatally flawed, as Agresti noted. It ignores that California also has sales taxes and property taxes on top of its punishing income tax. The state doesn’t give you a pass on those just because you’re already funding Sacramento’s spending addiction through income taxes.
Conservative voices including Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis pushed back hard on social media. The backlash wasn’t just political theater. When governors start gaslighting Americans about basic economic reality, it matters. People are making life-changing decisions about where to live and work based on tax policy. The migration patterns tell the story Newsom won’t: families and businesses continue fleeing California for states that respect their wallets.
There’s something almost admirable about the audacity here. Newsom traveled to Texas, a state that’s become a magnet for California refugees, and tried selling them on the idea that they’ve got it backwards. It’s like a restaurant with terrible food and worse service complaining that the packed steakhouse down the street is actually the problem. The market has already voted, governor.
This isn’t about mythology, as Newsom claimed. It’s about math. Real families in Texas keep more of what they earn. They’re not navigating a tax code designed to punish success at every turn. California’s “progressive” system might sound noble in a political science seminar, but it translates to crushing burdens for anyone trying to climb the economic ladder.
The disconnect between what Newsom says and what Californians experience daily grows wider by the month. Maybe he believes his own spin. More likely, he’s testing messages for whatever national ambitions he’s nursing. Either way, when experts actually examine the claims instead of nodding along, the whole argument collapses like a house of cards in an earthquake.
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