Nikki Haley’s presidential campaign just got louder after an American Research Group survey showed that the former UN Ambassador trailed Donald Trump by only 4 points.
The telephone poll, which was published on 21 December, was conducted between December 14-20. It has an error margin of four points. Trump is leading with 33% in New Hampshire, while Haley has 29%.
The voters in New Hampshire take the responsibility of vetting the candidates seriously. This can’t possibly be true, can it? Trump leads the nation by at least 40 points.
New Hampshire voters do not seem to be concerned about the outcome of the presidential race.
A second poll by Americans for Prosperity shows Haley at a distance of 3 points from Trump. This poll is based on the assumption that Ron DeSantis and Chris Christie will not run.
The Dispatch:
The Dispatch shared Friday morning polling from a conservative group supporting Nikki Haley’s presidential campaign. The results showed that she was only 3 points behind Donald Trump, in a hypothetical matchup between the two in New Hampshire. Americans for Prosperity is a grassroots group affiliated with the Koch political network. The poll showed that the former South Carolina Governor and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations was trailing Donald Trump 48 percent to 45 percent, with five percent undecided. The Florida governor and the former New Jersey Governor are, of course in the race. What does AFP’s survey show? Trump has 45 percent, Haley has 32 percent, Christie has 9 percent and DeSantis is 6 percent. These figures are in line with recent New Hampshire polls.
Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie, and others are unlikely to drop out before the New Hampshire primaries. Haley’s support has more than doubled since September and, at least in New Hampshire she has moved the needle from Donald Trump. This is something that no other candidate in any state has managed to achieve.
It’s not much. If you are Nikki Haley, and you are trying to keep your mind above water, then it is enough to keep moving forward in the hope of a miracle.
It’s not uncommon for about 12% of New Hampshire voters to be undecided. Are these people undecided, or are they open to voting for another candidate even though they have already decided?
This is not a popularity race, but a race to win delegates. In each state, there are two races and the candidate who has the best organization wins almost always the majority of the delegates. Trump has the advantage in New Hampshire and other early states.
We’ll find out if Haley can take on Trump seriously and if she can turn her popularity into a serious group.
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