President Donald Trump has touched down in the heart of the Middle East, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Air Force One’s wheels hit Saudi tarmac, kicking off a four-day diplomatic dance that could reshape the region’s political landscape faster than a tumbleweed rolls across a Texas plain.

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s de facto ruler, greeted Trump with the warmth of a long-lost friend. But beneath the veneer of hospitality, both men know they’re playing a high-stakes game of geopolitical poker. The chips on the table? Iran’s nuclear ambitions, the bloody conflict in Gaza, and oil prices that could make or break American wallets faster than you can say “crude awakening.”

Trump’s itinerary reads like a who’s who of Middle Eastern power players, but there’s one glaring omission that’s as conspicuous as a lone star in a cloudy Texas sky: Israel. This deliberate sidestep speaks volumes, and you can bet your bottom dollar that Prime Minister Netanyahu is taking note.

Trump’s trying to prove that adage wrong, courting Saudi Arabia while simultaneously pushing for normalization with Israel. It’s a balancing act that would make a rodeo clown sweat, and the success of this diplomatic hoedown is far from guaranteed.

Trump is promising deals on everything from artificial intelligence to arms sales, but in the Middle East, promises are as plentiful as sand in the Sahara.

Trump’s Abraham Accords were a feather in his cap during his first term, but replicating that success in today’s climate is about as easy as finding shade in Death Valley at high noon. The Palestinians are demanding statehood, the Israelis are digging in their heels, and the Saudis are playing their cards close to the vest.

The road ahead is as bumpy as a cattle trail after a spring rain. Trump’s betting the farm on his ability to charm, cajole, and deal his way to a new Middle East order. But in a region where alliances shift faster than desert sands, nothing is guaranteed.

This visit will have consequences that ripple far beyond the gilded palaces of Riyadh. Whether those consequences lead to peace or further turmoil remains to be seen. One thing’s for sure: If Trump can pull off this diplomatic hat trick, it’ll be a feat steadier than a cypress in a storm.

The heart of this matter beats with a simple truth: In the grand chess game of Middle East politics, every move counts. And as the sun sets on Trump’s first day in Saudi Arabia, the world watches and waits to see if his bold gambit pays off.